Executive notes

Working ideas about how businesses should operate next.

I write when an operating question keeps following me around. The notes combine external research, what I have seen inside businesses, and my own interpretation of what leaders may need to do differently.

October 2026 · Current thesis

AI is making execution cheaper. What becomes more valuable?

AI adoption is moving faster than operating-model redesign. I think that shifts advantage toward judgment, allocation, capability design and organizational learning.

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October 2026 · Transformation

The dangerous middle of transformation.

The old model still has revenue, customers and evidence. The new model needs resources before its economics are fully proven. That middle is where strategy becomes capital allocation.

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September 2026 · Earlier notes

Earlier notes that build the broader argument.

These pieces are meant to make a specific executive question more useful—not to manufacture a weekly opinion.

How I use evidence

Research informs the argument. It does not get to make the argument for me.

I separate external evidence, operating evidence and inference. When I am making a prediction or extending beyond what the research proves, I try to say so explicitly.

01

External evidence

Academic research, government and OECD data, primary company information and credible institutional research.

02

Operating evidence

What changed inside businesses I have built, operated or transformed—and what the economics actually looked like.

03

Inference

What I think follows from the first two. This is where the point of view lives, and where I am most willing to be wrong.

Questions in progress

What I’m still working on.

I do not want the site to imply certainty where there is none. These are active questions, not finished positions.

Strategy

The P&L is where strategy becomes real.

What changes when strategy is treated as resource allocation rather than aspiration?

Learning

The company that learns faster may win.

If production becomes abundant, does feedback-loop quality become a more durable advantage?

Trust

When everyone can create more, what becomes scarce?

Attention is limited. I suspect credibility and trusted judgment become more valuable still.